{"id":101617,"date":"2026-08-11T14:45:05","date_gmt":"2026-08-11T12:45:05","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2026-08-12T00:37:32","modified_gmt":"2026-08-11T22:37:32","slug":"019cd1fbe4ea-908ca529-d089-410c-ad1e-0a5e90d7c865","status":"publish","type":"nva_publication","link":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/en\/publications\/019cd1fbe4ea-908ca529-d089-410c-ad1e-0a5e90d7c865\/","title":{"rendered":"Evolution of Near\u2010Term Atmospheric Methane and Associated Temperature Response Under the Global Methane Pledge: Insights From an Earth System Model"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Abstract Methane is a powerful greenhouse gas with a shorter lifetime than carbon dioxide (CO 2 ), making it an important target for near\u2010term climate action. The Global Methane Pledge (GMP) aims to cut anthropogenic methane emissions by 30% from 2020 levels by 2030. Using an Earth system model with interactive CH 4 sources and sinks, we assess the Pledge&#8217;s impact through 2050. Results show that current GMP commitments deliver only a 10% cut by 2030\u2014well below the target. Only the maximum technically feasible reduction (MTFR) pathway can achieve the 30% goal. By 2050, current GMP commitments lowers methane concentrations by 3% relative to 2025, while MTFR achieves 8%. Both pathways slow warming slightly, avoiding about 0.1\u00b0C of global temperature rise, with the Arctic seeing the greatest benefits (up to 2\u00b0C less warming). Without wider participation, the GMP with current signatories will fall short of its targets and Paris Agreement goals.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_searchwp_excluded":"","_id":"","_status":"PUBLISHED","_sync_date":"2026-08-11 14:45:05","footnotes":""},"nva_tax_category":[1059],"class_list":["post-101617","nva_publication","type-nva_publication","status-publish","hentry","nva_tax_category-scientific-journal-publication"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/nva_publication\/101617","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/nva_publication"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/nva_publication"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/nva_publication\/101617\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":101618,"href":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/nva_publication\/101617\/revisions\/101618"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101617"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"nva_tax_category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/nva_tax_category?post=101617"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}