{"id":56982,"date":"2025-03-24T10:13:55","date_gmt":"2025-03-24T09:13:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/?p=56982"},"modified":"2025-03-24T10:13:55","modified_gmt":"2025-03-24T09:13:55","slug":"compact-vs-sprawling-how-can-urban-development-shape-healthier-environments","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/en\/2025\/03\/compact-vs-sprawling-how-can-urban-development-shape-healthier-environments\/","title":{"rendered":"Compact vs. sprawling \u2013 how can urban development shape healthier environments?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cWhen you live somewhere, it\u2019s about more than just a roof over your head. You need access to food stores, schools, pharmacies, kindergartens, meeting places, public transport \u2013 you name it. If these aren\u2019t available in your neighborhood, you drive to wherever you can find them,\u201d says senior scientist Dr Susana Lopez-Aparicio at NILU.<\/p>\n<p>She and her colleagues at NILU, together with a team of Polish researchers, investigated how urban expansion can be done in an environmentally sustainable way. They were especially interested in transport emissions and air quality. Warsaw was used as a case study, but their findings are transferable to other cities as well.<\/p>\n<h2>Suburban sprawl encourages car use<\/h2>\n<p>\u201cOver the last twenty plus years, Warsaw has seen unprecedented growth \u2013 with housing prices rising accordingly. Until recently, the expansion of Warsaw\u2019s metropolitan area has, for a large part, happened with no overall plan. This has led to a very distinguishable pattern of so-called suburban sprawl. Natural land has been replaced by detached houses, with little room left for amenities and services. We dubbed this a \u2018suburban monoculture\u2019 of detached houses,\u201d says Dr Henrik Grythe.<\/p>\n<p>Such sprawling cities encourage more everyday use of cars, longer commutes, and traffic congestion. This leads to increasing emissions of both carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2<\/sub>) and nitrogen oxides (NO<sub>x<\/sub>).<\/p>\n<p>So, how do you avoid that?<\/p>\n<p>The way a city is designed influences how people travel to their daily destinations. Can you get to work easily and effectively by public transport? Is your doctor\u2019s office within walking distance? Can your kids safely bicycle to school? All these factors shape our mobility patterns and decide what kind of transport we use.<\/p>\n<h2>Where do people need to go?<\/h2>\n<p>With Warsaw as their backdrop, the scientists modelled and evaluated two potential \u2018city design\u2019 scenarios: Continuous sprawling and alternative compact development. The two demonstrated quite contrasting outcomes.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_56974\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-56974\" style=\"width: 800px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"https:\/\/nilu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/urbandevelopment-nilu.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-56974 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/nilu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/urbandevelopment-nilu.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"310\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/urbandevelopment-nilu.jpg 800w, https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/urbandevelopment-nilu-300x116.jpg 300w, https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/urbandevelopment-nilu-768x298.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-56974\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">This study examines the environmental impacts of urban growth in Warsaw since 2006. The scientists behind the study have modelled the implications of future urban development for traffic pollutant emissions and pollution levels. Illustration: NILU<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u201cIn the continuous sprawling scenario, we moved people out from the city center and to the suburbs. This resulted in a 47% increase in CO<sub>2<\/sub> transport emission for the moved population, as the additional suburbians also need to use cars for their commute and errands. Not only did the model show that they would use their car for more trips: Each trip also increased in length. Perhaps more surprisingly, the traffic in the downtown area didn\u2019t go down much at all. While we couldn\u2019t model everything with enough specific granularity to detail out all effects, we think the fact that there are no proper ring roads is important. Thus, most people living in the suburbs still had to drive through the city center to get to other parts of town,\u201d says Grythe.<\/p>\n<p>In the other scenario, they moved people in the opposite direction, towards downtown. This compact development scenario reduced overall traffic CO<sub>2<\/sub> and NO<sub>x <\/sub>emissions.<\/p>\n<p>Reducing the polluting emissions is usually positive. The more air pollutants there are in the air we breathe, the more we are exposed to it. But in this case, compacting the population had a negative effect on human exposure.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf we increase the population density in the city center while the pollution stays the same, we just end up with more people being exposed to harmful air quality levels. In our models of compact Warsaw, this is exactly what happened. While there was a significant drop in emissions, the concentration of pollutants was still high in the areas where now even more people live. Thus, the exposure to air pollution went up in the compacted city,\u201d says Lopez-Aparicio.<\/p>\n<p>The scientists also needed to consider the fact that if possible, people living in the suburbs prefer to go into the city center by car. When you reduce overall traffic by re-allocating parts of the suburban population to downtown, the freed-up space on the road is taken up by an increase in downtown traffic from the suburbs. While the city dwellers suffer most of the consequences of air pollution, the people from the suburbs are responsible for the underlying emissions, even in the city center.<\/p>\n<h2>Compact living \u201cwins\u201d<\/h2>\n<p>The scientists modelled additional traffic measures to see what the ideal city development would be.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIn reality, it is of course much harder to force people to move in or out of the city than in our model. In addition to the different city developments, we tried several measures to both reduce emissions and improve the air pollution levels. We improved public transport, limited road capacity to force people to not use cars, we moved workplace centers around \u2013 we tried everything we could think of,\u201d says Grythe.<\/p>\n<p>The only thing that helped? Improving public transport. Aside from that, anything related to reducing the road network capacity only increased congestion and did nothing to reduce emissions.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFollowing up suburban expansion with moving workplaces to the suburbs only made matters worse in our model of the suburban sprawl scenario. All our modelled mitigation measures ended up being more effective in the compacted city. So at least within the limits of our scope, any mitigating measure applied to reduce transport emissions will be more efficient in a compact city. So, compaction is where you should start \u2013 despite the increased exposure to air pollutants,\u201d says Grythe.<\/p>\n<h2>Design for easy access to \u201ceverything\u201d<\/h2>\n<p>Road transport and residential heating are the main causes of air pollution in European cities. Thus, understanding how urbanization, emissions and air quality associated with road traffic affect each other is essential to design healthier cities.<\/p>\n<p>When asked how they would design a city for optimal air quality, Susana Lopez-Aparicio would go for the so-called \u201chub\u201d or centralized, compact city design.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI would prioritize easy, car-free access to everything you need in your daily life. If all main services and efficient public transport are available locally, it aids in reducing local air pollution,\u201d she says.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cWhen you live somewhere, it\u2019s about more than just a roof over your head. You need access to food stores, schools, pharmacies, kindergartens, meeting places, public transport \u2013 you name it. If these aren\u2019t available in your neighborhood, you drive to wherever you can find them,\u201d says senior scientist Dr Susana Lopez-Aparicio at NILU. She [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":56976,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_searchwp_excluded":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-56982","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-newsarchive"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56982","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56982"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56982\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":57016,"href":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56982\/revisions\/57016"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/56976"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56982"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56982"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nilu.gnist.dev\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56982"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}